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Rain Day Crop Talk
Courtesy of Kevin Van Trump



Corn traders will be very interested to see this afternoons USDA "planting progress" numbers. There is no doubt farmers have been burning the midnight oil this past week. In fact several analyst believe Iowa planted over 50% of their crop and as a whole corn planting here in the US will be 60-70% complete vs. just 28% last week. This brings up a very interesting point: With close to 50% of the US crop ALL going in the ground (late) during the same 7-10 day planting window (May 10-20th), I am of the opinion, the price of poker for "pollination" just escalated dramatically. Meaning the mid-to-late-July time period will now be mission-critical for the US corn crop. Any type of extreme heat or dryness could put an abnormally LARGE portion of our crop at risk. Lets also not forget, as our good friend Chip Flory over at Pro Farmer points out, "the corn plant reaches physiological maturity about 56 days after pollination. That means the crop could still be trying to add yield when days are getting too short to gather all the energy needed." Right now I have to believe the market is currently trading a 153-158 type yield number. With over 95 million corn acres almost certain to go in the ground this type of yield does very little to excite the longer-term bulls. However, if we were to see the extend Jun-Jul-Aug forecast show more heat and less moisture, a sub-150 yield could start to become more of a reality and the bulls might once again start to run.

 

  
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Clinton, MN
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Humid: 93% Dew Pt: 45oF
Barom: 29.8 Wind Dir: N
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Sunrise: 5:47 Sunset: 8:56
As reported at ORTONVILLE, MN at 6:00 AM
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Just Do It
Tuesday, May 21, 2013 1:55PM CDT
Growers planted corn like never before this past week, and technology led the way.
View From the Cab
Tuesday, May 21, 2013 12:28PM CDT
Farmers are in a constant battle to balance things such as water: not too much and not enough can both cause problems.
DTN Retail Fertilizer Trends
Tuesday, May 21, 2013 12:27PM CDT
Fertilizer retailers expected some price movements in different forms of nitrogen, but that has yet to emerge.
USDA Weekly Crop Progress
Monday, May 20, 2013 4:54PM CDT
Corn planters were rolling hard in the past week as producers now have 71% of the crop in the ground, up 43 percentage points from this time last week.

Did You Know?

In 1931 the use of carbon dioxide was tested as method to retard produce decay; eventually led to method for protecting fruits in transit


Fact courtesy of the USDA


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DTN Top Stories

Corn planters were rolling hard in the past week as producers now have 71% of the crop in the ground, up 43 percentage points from this time last week.More than half the states allow you keep your estate intact forever

  • as in 500 or 1,000 years or more. But other methods may achieve the same goal without handcuffing your heirs. See DTN Ag News. BAsk the Taxman by Andy Biebl...

Sen. Charles Grassley, R-Iowa, said Tuesday he doesn't think the farm bill will change much on the Senate floor despite several proposals on crop insurance. He and other senators outside of the Southeast are also openly complaining about the new provisions in the farm bill that create higher target prices for crops, particularly for rice and peanut growers. See DTN Ag News. 4^Debate Centers on Insurance...

Recent developments in the corn market reminded me of a column I wrote a couple years ago. See DTN Ag News. BNewsom on the Market...

Farmers are in a constant battle to balance things such as water: not too much and not enough can both cause problems. See . FView From the Cab...

Brazil's governors want the farm giant to become self-sufficient in fertilizer production but a lack of recoverable reserves makes this a pipe dream for potash. See DTN Ag News. BBrazil's Potash Outlook...


Quotes
 
@C - CORN - CBOT
  High Low Last Chg
Jul 642'2 637'6 640'2 0'2
Sep 549'2 546'2 549'2 2'4
Dec 524'2 519'2 523'2 3'0
 
@S - SOYBEANS - CBOT
  High Low Last Chg
Jul 1481'6 1470'6 1477'0 -1'2
Aug 1394'2 1385'4 1391'4 1'2
Sep 1290'2 1282'4 1288'4 0'4
 
@MW - HARD RED SPRING WHEAT - MGE
  High Low Last Chg
Jul 814'0 811'2 814'0 0'4
Sep 797'6 796'2 797'2 0'2
Dec 803'0 800'0 802'4 0'0
Mar 815'4 -2'4
May 820'4 -2'4
 
@LE - LIVE CATTLE - CME
  High Low Last Chg
Jun 121.350 121.025 121.200 0.100
Aug 120.500 120.225 120.275 - 0.100
Oct 123.675 123.325 123.450 - 0.025
 
@HE - LEAN HOGS - CME
  High Low Last Chg
Jun 92.825 92.500 92.700 0.300
Jul 92.075 91.800 91.975 0.225
Aug 90.875 90.575 90.875 0.275

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Quote Ticker
  • CORN (Jul 13) 640'2 0'2 5/22/13   6:50 AM CST
  • CORN (Sep 13) 549'2 2'4 5/22/13   6:43 AM CST
  • CORN (Dec 13) 523'2 3'0 5/22/13   6:48 AM CST
  • SOYBEANS (Jul 13) 1477'0 -1'2 5/22/13   6:49 AM CST
  • SOYBEANS (Aug 13) 1391'4 1'2 5/22/13   6:48 AM CST
  • SOYBEANS (Sep 13) 1288'4 0'4 5/22/13   6:47 AM CST
  • HARD RED SPRING WHEAT (Jul 13) 814'0 0'4 5/22/13   6:16 AM CST
  • HARD RED SPRING WHEAT (Sep 13) 797'2 0'2 5/22/13   5:58 AM CST
  • HARD RED SPRING WHEAT (Dec 13) 802'4 0'0 5/22/13   6:19 AM CST
  • HARD RED SPRING WHEAT (Mar 14) 815'4 -2'4 5/21/13   1:32 PM CST
  • HARD RED SPRING WHEAT (May 14) 820'4 -2'4 5/21/13   1:32 PM CST
  • LIVE CATTLE (Jun 13) 121.200 0.100 5/22/13   6:39 AM CST
  • LIVE CATTLE (Aug 13) 120.275 - 0.100 5/22/13   6:43 AM CST
  • LIVE CATTLE (Oct 13) 123.450 - 0.025 5/22/13   6:40 AM CST
  • LEAN HOGS (Jun 13) 92.700 0.300 5/22/13   4:51 AM CST
  • LEAN HOGS (Jul 13) 91.975 0.225 5/22/13   5:43 AM CST
  • LEAN HOGS (Aug 13) 90.875 0.275 5/22/13   6:46 AM CST

 
 
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